PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers · Championship

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.631.5
Expected goals
1.540.87
Shots
12.111.6
Possession
59.6%51.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: blackburn Rovers's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Blackburn Rovers have a visible away split

weak

Blackburn Rovers's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match11.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Swansea City favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Blackburn Rovers in 1 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Swansea City8 matchesBlackburn Rovers8 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.5 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.5 goals/match
1.54 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/80.87 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots8/811.6 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/84.13 shots/match
59.6% ●Possession8/851.8%
4.13 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.88 corners/match
9.25 fouls/matchFouls8/810.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Swansea City
0Draws
1Blackburn Rovers
Swansea City — Blackburn Rovers · Championship3–1
Blackburn Rovers — Swansea City · Championship1–2
Swansea City — Blackburn Rovers · Championship3–0
Blackburn Rovers — Swansea City · Championship1–0
Swansea City — Blackburn Rovers · Championship2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness42 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSwansea CityBlackburn Rovers
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headSwansea City — Blackburn Rovers
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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