Championship · 2026

Wolverhampton vs Cardiff City · Championship

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.141.25
Expected goals
1.821.76
Shots
15.418.8
Possession
53.6%64.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. The next-strongest reading is weaker: cardiff City have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Cardiff City have a visible away split

weak

Cardiff City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season18.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match18.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Cardiff City's recent record differs from the season

weak

Cardiff City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.25 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.29 corners/matchCornersWolverhampton · Cardiff City● 7.75 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricWolverhamptonCardiff CityBaseline
Corners6.29 corners/match7.75 corners/match5.25 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wolverhampton favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Cardiff City in 4 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wolverhampton7 matchesCardiff City8 matches
2.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/81.25 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/81.5 goals/match
1.82 xG/matchExpected goals7/81.76 xG/match
15.4 shots/matchShots7/8▲ 18.8 shots/match
4.57 shots/matchShots on target7/8▲ 6.5 shots/match
53.6%Possession7/8● 64.6%
6.29 corners/matchCorners7/8● 7.75 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls7/810.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness42 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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