Bundesliga · 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.51.5
Expected goals
2.381.75
Shots
22.515.3
Possession
61.3%53%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

9.25 corners/match ●CornersBayer 04 Leverkusen · VfB Stuttgart6.5 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenVfB StuttgartBaseline
Corners9.25 corners/match6.5 corners/match5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

22.5 shots/match ▲ShotsBayer 04 Leverkusen · VfB Stuttgart15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenVfB StuttgartBaseline
Shots22.5 shots/match15.3 shots/match14.9 shots/match
Shots against9 shots/match18 shots/match16.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.3% ●PossessionBayer 04 Leverkusen · VfB Stuttgart53%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenVfB StuttgartBaseline
Possession61.3%53%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen4 matchesVfB Stuttgart4 matches
2.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/42.25 goals/match
2.38 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.75 xG/match
22.5 shots/match ▲Shots4/415.3 shots/match
6.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/45.5 shots/match
61.3% ●Possession4/453%
9.25 corners/match ●Corners4/46.5 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls4/49.75 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2Draws
2VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga3–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1–4
VfB Stuttgart — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga3–4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga0–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
Freshness42 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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