Mansfield Town vs Notts County — Stats & Match Analysis

League One · 2026Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC

Mansfield Town

WLLDD

vsPre-match analysis

Notts County

WDDLL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 1.431
Expected goals: 1.161.22
Shots: 12.712.3
Possession: 45.9%45.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: mansfield Town's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Mansfield Town have a visible home split

weak

Mansfield Town's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	16 shots/match	12.7 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Notts County's recent record differs from the season

weak

Notts County's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1 goal/match	1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14 fouls/matchFoulsMansfield Town · Notts County13.7 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Mansfield Town	Notts County	Baseline
Fouls	14 fouls/match	13.7 fouls/match	12.3 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mansfield Town favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Notts County in 5 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mansfield Town7 matchesNotts County7 matches

1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71 goal/match

1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.29 goals/match

1.16 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.22 xG/match

12.7 shots/matchShots7/712.3 shots/match

3.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73.29 shots/match

45.9% ●Possession7/745.1%

3.71 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4.43 corners/match

14 fouls/matchFouls7/713.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness42 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season