PitchMath
League One · 2026

Wycombe Wanderers vs Burton Albion · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.631.63
Expected goals
1.30.9
Shots
11.39.63
Possession
48.7%44.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: wycombe Wanderers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Wycombe Wanderers's recent record differs from the season

weak

Wycombe Wanderers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wycombe Wanderers favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Burton Albion in 4 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wycombe Wanderers8 matchesBurton Albion8 matches
1.63 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.63 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/80.9 xG/match
11.3 shots/match ▲Shots7/89.63 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/83.13 shots/match
48.7% ●Possession7/844.1%
5.57 corners/match ●Corners7/83.13 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls7/813.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Wycombe Wanderers
2Draws
0Burton Albion
Wycombe Wanderers — Burton Albion · League One3–0
Burton Albion — Wycombe Wanderers · League One0–0
Wycombe Wanderers — Burton Albion · League One2–0
Burton Albion — Wycombe Wanderers · League One2–3
Burton Albion — Wycombe Wanderers · League One1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWycombe WanderersBurton Albion
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headWycombe Wanderers — Burton Albion
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Wycombe Wanderers vs Burton Albion — Stats & Match Analysis | PitchMath