PitchMath
League One · 2026

Peterborough United vs Luton Town · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.51.71
Expected goals
1.421.45
Shots
13.713.3
Possession
59.4%57.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: luton Town's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Luton Town's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Luton Town's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.71 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Peterborough United favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Luton Town in 9 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Peterborough United8 matchesLuton Town7 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/7▲ 1.71 goals/match
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/72 goals/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.45 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots7/713.3 shots/match
2.71 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4.29 shots/match
59.4% ●Possession7/757.1%
5.43 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6.29 corners/match
9.43 fouls/matchFouls7/711.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Peterborough United
1Draws
3Luton Town
Luton Town — Peterborough United · League One2–1
Peterborough United — Luton Town · League One0–2
Peterborough United — Luton Town · Championship1–1
Luton Town — Peterborough United · Championship3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness42 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPeterborough UnitedLuton Town
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headPeterborough United — Luton Town
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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