PitchMath
League One · 2026

Bromley vs Peterborough United · League One

Bromley

LLLDW
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.140.57
Expected goals
0.841.42
Shots
9.1413.7
Possession
35.9%59.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: peterborough United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: peterborough United have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Peterborough United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Peterborough United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.57 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Peterborough United have recorded the higher season possession share.

35.9%PossessionBromley · Peterborough United● 59.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBromleyPeterborough UnitedBaseline
Possession35.9%59.4%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Peterborough United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Peterborough United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.14 shots/match ▲ShotsBromley · Peterborough United13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBromleyPeterborough UnitedBaseline
Shots9.14 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against18 shots/match13 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bromley favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Peterborough United in 9 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bromley7 matchesPeterborough United7 matches
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.57 goals/match
2.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.71 goals/match
0.84 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.42 xG/match
9.14 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 13.7 shots/match
3.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/72.71 shots/match
35.9%Possession7/7● 59.4%
3.29 corners/matchCorners7/7● 5.43 corners/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls7/79.43 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBromleyPeterborough United
CompetitionLeague One
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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