PitchMath
League One · 2026

Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.571.14
Expected goals
1.031.47
Shots
10.614.4
Possession
43.9%43.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stevenage favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Milton Keynes Dons in 5 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stevenage7 matchesMilton Keynes Dons7 matches
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.14 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.43 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.47 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 14.4 shots/match
3.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73.29 shots/match
43.9% ●Possession7/743.6%
4.14 corners/matchCorners7/7● 5.43 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls7/712.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness37 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStevenageMilton Keynes Dons
CompetitionLeague One
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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