PitchMath
League One · 2026

Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.51.13
Expected goals
1.161.38
Shots
11.114
Possession
43.4%45%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: milton Keynes Dons's away-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Milton Keynes Dons have a visible away split

weak

Milton Keynes Dons's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match14 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stevenage favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Milton Keynes Dons in 4 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stevenage8 matchesMilton Keynes Dons8 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.13 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.88 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.38 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 14 shots/match
4.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.38 shots/match
43.4%Possession8/8● 45%
3.88 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls8/812.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStevenageMilton Keynes Dons
CompetitionLeague One
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required