League One · 2026

Notts County vs Stockport County · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
12.22
Expected goals
1.151.82
Shots
1216.6
Possession
45.8%58.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: notts County's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: notts County's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Notts County's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Notts County's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stockport County have a visible away split

weak

Stockport County's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match16.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Notts County show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Notts County's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsNotts County · Stockport County16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNotts CountyStockport CountyBaseline
Shots12 shots/match16.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Notts County favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Stockport County in 10 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Notts County8 matchesStockport County9 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored8/9▲ 2.22 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/9▲ 1.22 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.82 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 16.6 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5.13 shots/match
45.8%Possession8/8● 58.8%
4.5 corners/matchCorners8/8● 7.5 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls8/88.38 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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