PitchMath
League One · 2026

AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe Wanderers · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.711.57
Expected goals
0.871.3
Shots
1111.3
Possession
46.6%48.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: AFC Wimbledon's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

AFC Wimbledon's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AFC Wimbledon's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.71 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AFC Wimbledon favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Wycombe Wanderers in 6 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AFC Wimbledon7 matchesWycombe Wanderers7 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.57 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed7/72 goals/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.3 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots7/711.3 shots/match
2.57 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 5 shots/match
46.6%Possession7/7● 48.7%
5.57 corners/matchCorners7/75.57 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls7/710 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1AFC Wimbledon
2Draws
1Wycombe Wanderers
Wycombe Wanderers — AFC Wimbledon · League One2–0
AFC Wimbledon — Wycombe Wanderers · League One2–1
AFC Wimbledon — Wycombe Wanderers · League One1–1
Wycombe Wanderers — AFC Wimbledon · League One2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness37 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAFC WimbledonWycombe Wanderers
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headAFC Wimbledon — Wycombe Wanderers
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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