PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Liverpool vs Arsenal · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Arsenal

WWWWL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.41.6
Expected goals
1.591.7
Shots
15.213
Possession
59.2%59.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: arsenal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Arsenal have a visible away split

weak

Arsenal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.67 shots/match13 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Liverpool favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Arsenal in 6 · 6 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Liverpool5 matchesArsenal5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.6 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
1.59 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.7 xG/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/513 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match
59.2%Possession5/5● 59.6%
4 corners/matchCorners5/5● 5 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Liverpool
3Draws
1Arsenal
Arsenal — Liverpool · Premier League0–0
Liverpool — Arsenal · Premier League1–0
Liverpool — Arsenal · Premier League2–2
Arsenal — Liverpool · Premier League2–2
Arsenal — Liverpool · Premier League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness43 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLiverpoolArsenal
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headLiverpool — Arsenal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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