PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.43.2
Expected goals
1.592.21
Shots
15.219
Possession
59.2%64.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. No second reading clears the same sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

12.8 fouls/matchFoulsLiverpool · Brighton & Hove Albion13 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolBrighton & Hove AlbionBaseline
Fouls12.8 fouls/match13 fouls/match11.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Liverpool favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 6 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Liverpool5 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 3.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51 goal/match
1.59 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 2.21 xG/match
15.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 19 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 5.8 shots/match
59.2%Possession5/5● 64.6%
4 corners/matchCorners5/5● 5.4 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Liverpool
0Draws
2Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion — Liverpool · Premier League2–1
Liverpool — Brighton & Hove Albion · FA Cup3–0
Liverpool — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–0
Brighton & Hove Albion — Liverpool · Premier League3–2
Liverpool — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLiverpoolBrighton & Hove Albion
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headLiverpool — Brighton & Hove Albion
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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