PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Manchester United vs Bournemouth · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.61.2
Expected goals
1.921.44
Shots
22.613.6
Possession
59.8%47.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 0 to Manchester United, 4 drawn, 1 to Bournemouth. From this fixture's own record: manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

22.6 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester United · Bournemouth13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedBournemouthBaseline
Shots22.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match10.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Manchester United have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.8% ●PossessionManchester United · Bournemouth47.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedBournemouthBaseline
Possession59.8%47.8%47.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester United favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 2 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester United5 matchesBournemouth5 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.92 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.44 xG/match
22.6 shots/match ▲Shots5/513.6 shots/match
5.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/55.2 shots/match
59.8% ●Possession5/547.8%
7.2 corners/match ●Corners5/54.2 corners/match
9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Manchester United
4Draws
1Bournemouth
Bournemouth — Manchester United · Premier League2–2
Manchester United — Bournemouth · Premier League4–4
Bournemouth — Manchester United · Premier League1–1
Manchester United — Bournemouth · Premier League0–3
Bournemouth — Manchester United · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsManchester UnitedBournemouth
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headManchester United — Bournemouth
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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