PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.481.19
Expected goals
1.041.05
Shots
12.612
Possession
49.9%52.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: atlético Bucaramanga's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Atlético Bucaramanga's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Bucaramanga's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Bucaramanga favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Pasto in 1 · 6 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Bucaramanga29 matchesDeportivo Pasto32 matches
1.48 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/321.19 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed29/321.44 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals21/251.05 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots28/3112 shots/match
4.14 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/313.68 shots/match
49.9%Possession28/31● 52.3%
3.89 corners/matchCorners28/31● 4.16 corners/match
5 cards/matchCards4/124.83 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls28/3111.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atlético Bucaramanga
1Draws
0Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto — Atlético Bucaramanga · Primera A0–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 01:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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