PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares de Córdoba · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.191.07
Expected goals
1.050.91
Shots
1211.1
Possession
52.3%45.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: jaguares de Córdoba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: jaguares de Córdoba's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Jaguares de Córdoba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Jaguares de Córdoba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Jaguares de Córdoba have a visible away split

moderate

Jaguares de Córdoba's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.31 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.31 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Pasto favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Jaguares de Córdoba in 0 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Pasto32 matchesJaguares de Córdoba29 matches
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/291.07 goals/match
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/291.76 goals/match
1.05 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/250.91 xG/match
12 shots/match ▲Shots31/2911.1 shots/match
3.68 shots/matchShots on target31/293.72 shots/match
52.3% ●Possession31/2945.7%
4.16 corners/match ●Corners31/294.03 corners/match
4.83 cards/matchCards12/54.6 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls31/2911.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Deportivo Pasto
0Draws
0Jaguares de Córdoba
Jaguares de Córdoba — Deportivo Pasto · Primera A2–3

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 01:10 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo PastoJaguares de Córdoba
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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