Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Hilal vs Al-Fateh · Saudi Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
3.290.57
Expected goals
3.511.18
Shots
2011.9
Possession
57.1%45.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 5 to Al-Hilal, 0 drawn, 0 to Al-Fateh. From this fixture's own record: al-Hilal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Al-Hilal show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Al-Hilal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Hilal · Al-Fateh11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-HilalAl-FatehBaseline
Shots20 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match16.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Al-Fateh's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al-Fateh's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.57 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Al-Hilal have a visible home split

weak

Al-Hilal's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season20 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match20 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Hilal favored in 13 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Fateh in 0

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Hilal7 matchesAl-Fateh7 matches
3.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.57 goals/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.57 goals/match
3.51 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.18 xG/match
20 shots/match ▲Shots7/711.9 shots/match
7.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/75 shots/match
57.1% ●Possession7/745.3%
5.29 corners/match ●Corners7/74.14 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls7/711.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Al-Hilal
0Draws
0Al-Fateh
Al-Fateh — Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League0–1
Al-Hilal — Al-Fateh · King's Cup4–1
Al-Hilal — Al-Fateh · Saudi Pro League2–1
Al-Fateh — Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League3–4
Al-Hilal — Al-Fateh · Saudi Pro League9–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness47 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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