Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Fateh vs Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.570.86
Expected goals
1.181.26
Shots
11.912.9
Possession
45.3%51.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: al-Fateh's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: al-Shabab's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Al-Fateh's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al-Fateh's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.57 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Al-Shabab show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Al-Shabab's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Fateh · Al-Shabab12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-FatehAl-ShababBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against16.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Fateh favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Shabab in 8 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Fateh7 matchesAl-Shabab7 matches
0.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 0.86 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.57 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.26 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 12.9 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/74.29 shots/match
45.3%Possession7/7● 51.3%
4.14 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6.71 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls7/79.86 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Al-Fateh
2Draws
1Al-Shabab
Al-Shabab — Al-Fateh · Saudi Pro League1–1
Al-Fateh — Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League2–0
Al-Fateh — Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League3–1
Al-Shabab — Al-Fateh · Saudi Pro League2–2
Al-Shabab — Al-Fateh · Saudi Pro League3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness40 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 22 Oct 2026, 14:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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