PitchMath
Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Fateh vs Al-Khaleej · Saudi Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.570.43
Expected goals
1.180.69
Shots
11.98.57
Possession
45.3%48.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: al-Fateh's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Al-Fateh's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al-Fateh's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.57 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Fateh favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Khaleej in 6 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Fateh7 matchesAl-Khaleej7 matches
0.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.43 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.18 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.69 xG/match
11.9 shots/match ▲Shots7/78.57 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/72.43 shots/match
45.3%Possession7/7● 48.1%
4.14 corners/match ●Corners7/73.57 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls7/79.71 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Al-Fateh
0Draws
2Al-Khaleej
Al-Fateh — Al-Khaleej · Saudi Pro League1–0
Al-Khaleej — Al-Fateh · Saudi Pro League0–1
Al-Khaleej — Al-Fateh · Saudi Pro League1–5
Al-Fateh — Al-Khaleej · Saudi Pro League1–2
Al-Fateh — Al-Khaleej · Saudi Pro League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAl-FatehAl-Khaleej
CompetitionSaudi Pro League
Head-to-headAl-Fateh — Al-Khaleej
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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