Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Shabab vs Al-Faisaly · Saudi Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.860.71
Expected goals
1.260.93
Shots
12.97.29
Possession
51.3%48.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: al-Faisaly's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: al-Faisaly's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Al-Faisaly have a visible away split

weak

Al-Faisaly's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

5.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season7.29 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots5.33 shots/match7.29 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Al-Faisaly show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Al-Faisaly's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Shabab · Al-Faisaly7.29 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-ShababAl-FaisalyBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match7.29 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Al-Shabab's recent record differs from the season

weak

Al-Shabab's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.86 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Shabab favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Faisaly in 1 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Shabab7 matchesAl-Faisaly7 matches
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.71 goals/match
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.86 goals/match
1.26 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.93 xG/match
12.9 shots/match ▲Shots7/77.29 shots/match
4.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/72.71 shots/match
51.3% ●Possession7/748.1%
6.71 corners/match ●Corners7/72.14 corners/match
9.86 fouls/matchFouls7/79.57 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Al-Shabab
1Draws
0Al-Faisaly
Al-Shabab — Al-Faisaly · Saudi Pro League1–0
Al-Faisaly — Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness38 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 19 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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