Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Hilal vs Al-Hazem · Saudi Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
3.291
Expected goals
3.510.93
Shots
209.71
Possession
57.1%44.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: al-Hilal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: al-Hilal have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Al-Hilal show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Al-Hilal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Hilal · Al-Hazem9.71 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-HilalAl-HazemBaseline
Shots20 shots/match9.71 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Al-Hazem have a visible away split

weak

Al-Hazem's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.71 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match9.71 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Al-Hilal have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.1% ●PossessionAl-Hilal · Al-Hazem44.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAl-HilalAl-HazemBaseline
Possession57.1%44.6%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Hilal favored in 13 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Hazem in 0

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Hilal7 matchesAl-Hazem7 matches
3.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71 goal/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.29 goals/match
3.51 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.93 xG/match
20 shots/match ▲Shots7/79.71 shots/match
7.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73 shots/match
57.1% ●Possession7/744.6%
5.29 corners/match ●Corners7/73.71 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls7/714.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Al-Hilal
0Draws
0Al-Hazem
Al-Hazem — Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League0–3
Al-Hilal — Al-Hazem · Saudi Pro League3–0
Al-Hilal — Al-Hazem · Saudi Pro League4–1
Al-Hazem — Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League0–9
Al-Hilal — Al-Hazem · Saudi Pro League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness38 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 19 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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