Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Riyadh vs Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.143.29
Expected goals
0.733.51
Shots
10.120
Possession
37.9%57.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 0 to Al-Riyadh, 2 drawn, 3 to Al-Hilal. From this fixture's own record: al-Hilal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Al-Hilal show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Al-Hilal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Riyadh · Al-Hilal20 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-RiyadhAl-HilalBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match20 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against16.3 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Al-Hilal have recorded the higher season possession share.

37.9%PossessionAl-Riyadh · Al-Hilal● 57.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAl-RiyadhAl-HilalBaseline
Possession37.9%57.1%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Al-Hilal have a visible away split

weak

Al-Hilal's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

23 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season20 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots23 shots/match20 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Riyadh favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Hilal in 13

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Riyadh7 matchesAl-Hilal7 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 3.29 goals/match
2.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.71 goals/match
0.73 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 3.51 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 20 shots/match
2.71 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 7.29 shots/match
37.9%Possession7/7● 57.1%
2.71 corners/matchCorners7/7● 5.29 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls7/712.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Al-Riyadh
2Draws
3Al-Hilal
Al-Riyadh — Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League1–1
Al-Hilal — Al-Riyadh · Saudi Pro League2–0
Al-Hilal — Al-Riyadh · Saudi Pro League1–1
Al-Riyadh — Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League0–3
Al-Riyadh — Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness34 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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