Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Diraiyah Club vs Al-Riyadh · Saudi Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
11.14
Expected goals
1.440.73
Shots
12.710.1
Possession
48.4%37.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: al-Riyadh's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: al-Diraiyah Club have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Al-Diraiyah Club's recent record differs from the season

weak

Al-Diraiyah Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Al-Riyadh show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Al-Riyadh's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Diraiyah Club · Al-Riyadh10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-Diraiyah ClubAl-RiyadhBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against10.9 shots/match16.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Al-Diraiyah Club have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.4% ●PossessionAl-Diraiyah Club · Al-Riyadh37.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAl-Diraiyah ClubAl-RiyadhBaseline
Possession48.4%37.9%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Diraiyah Club favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Riyadh in 1 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Diraiyah Club7 matchesAl-Riyadh7 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.14 goals/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72.29 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.73 xG/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots7/710.1 shots/match
3.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/72.71 shots/match
48.4% ●Possession7/737.9%
5.29 corners/match ●Corners7/72.71 corners/match
9.43 fouls/matchFouls7/710.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness32 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 15 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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