Saudi Pro League · 2026ScheduledSeason opening
vsSeason opening

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 1 to Al-Ahli, 1 drawn, 3 to Al-Nassr. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

Last 5 meetings

1Al-Ahli
1Draws
3Al-Nassr
Al-NassrAl-Ahli · Saudi Pro League20
Al-AhliAl-Nassr · Saudi Pro League32
Al-AhliAl-Nassr · Saudi Pro League23
Al-NassrAl-Ahli · Saudi Pro League11
Al-AhliAl-Nassr · Saudi Pro League01

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Al-Ahli1 matches
  • Al-Nassr1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Al-Ahli

Competition
Saudi Pro League
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
21 May 2026
  • Goals scored2.09 goals/match
  • Goals allowed0.74 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.91 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed0.82 xG/match
  • Shots12.9 shots/match
  • Shots allowed8.62 shots/match
  • Shots on target5.29 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed2.56 shots/match
  • Possession50.1%
  • Corners5.59 corners/match
  • Corners allowed3.53 corners/match
  • Cards2.68 cards/match
  • Fouls14.5 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency50%
  • Scoring frequency91%

Al-Nassr

Competition
Saudi Pro League
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
21 May 2026
  • Goals scored2.68 goals/match
  • Goals allowed0.82 goals/match
  • Expected goals2.27 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed0.85 xG/match
  • Shots17.9 shots/match
  • Shots allowed6.76 shots/match
  • Shots on target7 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed2.53 shots/match
  • Possession58.3%
  • Corners6.97 corners/match
  • Corners allowed3.06 corners/match
  • Cards1.92 cards/match
  • Fouls12.4 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency50%
  • Scoring frequency100%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 10 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4