Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Taawoun vs Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.432.29
Expected goals
1.42.19
Shots
14.914
Possession
55.9%56.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: al-Taawoun's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Al-Taawoun's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al-Taawoun's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.43 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7 corners/match ●CornersAl-Taawoun · Al-Qadsiah6.29 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAl-TaawounAl-QadsiahBaseline
Corners7 corners/match6.29 corners/match4.36 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Al-Qadsiah have a visible away split

weak

Al-Qadsiah's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match14 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Taawoun favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Qadsiah in 9 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Taawoun7 matchesAl-Qadsiah7 matches
0.43 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2.29 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 2.19 xG/match
14.9 shots/match ▲Shots7/714 shots/match
3.43 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 5.86 shots/match
55.9%Possession7/7● 56.7%
7 corners/match ●Corners7/76.29 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls7/712.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Al-Taawoun
1Draws
1Al-Qadsiah
Al-Qadsiah — Al-Taawoun · Saudi Pro League1–1
Al-Taawoun — Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League2–0
Al-Taawoun — Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League0–1
Al-Qadsiah — Al-Taawoun · Saudi Pro League0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness34 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 15 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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