Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Qadsiah vs Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.293.29
Expected goals
2.193.51
Shots
1420
Possession
56.7%57.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. The next-strongest reading is weaker: al-Qadsiah's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.29 corners/match ●CornersAl-Qadsiah · Al-Hilal5.29 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAl-QadsiahAl-HilalBaseline
Corners6.29 corners/match5.29 corners/match4.36 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Al-Qadsiah have a visible home split

weak

Al-Qadsiah's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match14 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Al-Qadsiah's recent record differs from the season

weak

Al-Qadsiah's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match14 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Qadsiah favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Hilal in 7 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Qadsiah7 matchesAl-Hilal7 matches
2.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 3.29 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.71 goals/match
2.19 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 3.51 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 20 shots/match
5.86 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 7.29 shots/match
56.7%Possession7/7● 57.1%
6.29 corners/match ●Corners7/75.29 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls7/712.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Al-Qadsiah
2Draws
1Al-Hilal
Al-Qadsiah — Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League2–2
Al-Hilal — Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League2–2
Al-Hilal — Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League2–0
Al-Qadsiah — Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness42 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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