Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.132.63
Expected goals
0.812.56
Shots
1114.8
Possession
40.5%57.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: al-Riyadh's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: al-Qadsiah's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Al-Riyadh's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al-Riyadh's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Al-Qadsiah show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Al-Qadsiah's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Riyadh · Al-Qadsiah14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-RiyadhAl-QadsiahBaseline
Shots11 shots/match14.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match9.5 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Al-Qadsiah have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.5%PossessionAl-Riyadh · Al-Qadsiah● 57.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAl-RiyadhAl-QadsiahBaseline
Possession40.5%57.3%48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Riyadh favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Qadsiah in 12 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Riyadh8 matchesAl-Qadsiah8 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2.63 goals/match
2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1 goal/match
0.81 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 2.56 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 14.8 shots/match
2.63 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 6.25 shots/match
40.5%Possession8/8● 57.3%
3.5 corners/matchCorners8/8● 6.25 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls8/812.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Al-Riyadh
0Draws
3Al-Qadsiah
Al-Riyadh — Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League0–4
Al-Qadsiah — Al-Riyadh · Saudi Pro League4–0
Al-Qadsiah — Al-Riyadh · Saudi Pro League1–0
Al-Riyadh — Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness20 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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