The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Where the edge is
Season: Al-Ittihad favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Diraiyah Club in 6 · 1 too close
▲ recorded edge● higher value (descriptive) too close
Window
Season
Al-Ittihad8 matchesAl-Diraiyah Club8 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.88 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1 goal/match
1.89 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.34 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots8/812.4 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83 shots/match
50.1% ●Possession8/848.4%
4.25 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.63 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls8/88.75 fouls/match
Window
Last 10
Al-Ittihad8 matchesAl-Diraiyah Club8 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.88 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1 goal/match
1.89 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.34 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots8/812.4 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83 shots/match
50.1% ●Possession8/848.4%
4.25 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.63 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls8/88.75 fouls/match
Window
Last 5
Al-Ittihad5 matchesAl-Diraiyah Club5 matches
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51 goal/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.76 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.52 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots5/512 shots/match
5.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
52.8% ●Possession5/545%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/5● 5.6 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/58.4 fouls/match
Window
Home–Away
Al-Ittihad4 matchesAl-Diraiyah Club4 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1 goal/match
2.58 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.59 xG/match
16.5 shots/match ▲Shots4/412.5 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/44.25 shots/match
49.8% ●Possession4/444.8%
4 corners/matchCorners4/4● 4.75 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls4/46.75 fouls/match
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Al-Ittihad58.3
Al-Diraiyah Club47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Al-Ittihad68.5
Al-Diraiyah Club33.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Al-Ittihad36.1
Al-Diraiyah Club59.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Al-Ittihad80.6
Al-Diraiyah Club41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Al-Ittihad58.3
Al-Diraiyah Club2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 56%
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Al-Ittihad47.2
Al-Diraiyah Club63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Al-Ittihad59.7
Al-Diraiyah Club34.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%
Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
12.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.9 days
Al-Ittihad / Al-Diraiyah Club
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match
Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4