PitchMath
Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Ittihad vs Al-Diraiyah Club · Saudi Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.711
Expected goals
1.991.44
Shots
15.312.7
Possession
50%48.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: al-Diraiyah Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Al-Diraiyah Club's recent record differs from the season

weak

Al-Diraiyah Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Ittihad favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Diraiyah Club in 6 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Ittihad7 matchesAl-Diraiyah Club7 matches
1.71 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71 goal/match
0.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.71 goals/match
1.99 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.44 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲Shots7/712.7 shots/match
4.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73.29 shots/match
50% ●Possession7/748.4%
4.29 corners/matchCorners7/7● 5.29 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls7/79.43 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness42 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAl-IttihadAl-Diraiyah Club
CompetitionSaudi Pro League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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