PitchMath
Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad · Saudi Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.571.71
Expected goals
1.271.99
Shots
14.315.3
Possession
56.3%50%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: al-Ettifaq's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Al-Ettifaq's recent record differs from the season

weak

Al-Ettifaq's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Al-Ettifaq have a visible home split

weak

Al-Ettifaq's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Ettifaq favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Ittihad in 6 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Ettifaq7 matchesAl-Ittihad7 matches
1.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.71 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.86 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.99 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 15.3 shots/match
5.14 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/74.86 shots/match
56.3% ●Possession7/750%
5.57 corners/match ●Corners7/74.29 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls7/712.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Al-Ettifaq
0Draws
3Al-Ittihad
Al-Ettifaq — Al-Ittihad · Saudi Pro League1–3
Al-Ittihad — Al-Ettifaq · Saudi Pro League0–1
Al-Ittihad — Al-Ettifaq · Saudi Pro League3–2
Al-Ettifaq — Al-Ittihad · Saudi Pro League0–4
Al-Ittihad — Al-Ettifaq · Saudi Pro League0–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness34 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 15 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAl-EttifaqAl-Ittihad
CompetitionSaudi Pro League
Head-to-headAl-Ettifaq — Al-Ittihad
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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