Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Nassr vs Al-Kholood · Saudi Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.291.71
Expected goals
1.651.59
Shots
16.311.3
Possession
56.9%47.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: al-Kholood's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: al-Nassr have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Al-Nassr's recent record differs from the season

weak

Al-Nassr's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match2.29 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Al-Kholood show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Al-Kholood's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Nassr · Al-Kholood11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-NassrAl-KholoodBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against9.14 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Al-Nassr have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.9% ●PossessionAl-Nassr · Al-Kholood47.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAl-NassrAl-KholoodBaseline
Possession56.9%47.7%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Nassr favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Kholood in 0 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Nassr7 matchesAl-Kholood7 matches
2.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.71 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.43 goals/match
1.65 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.59 xG/match
16.3 shots/match ▲Shots7/711.3 shots/match
6.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/74.29 shots/match
56.9% ●Possession7/747.7%
8.29 corners/match ●Corners7/74.43 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls7/712.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Al-Nassr
1Draws
0Al-Kholood
Al-Kholood — Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League0–3
Al-Nassr — Al-Kholood · Saudi Pro League2–0
Al-Nassr — Al-Kholood · Saudi Pro League3–1
Al-Kholood — Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness47 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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