Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Nassr vs Al-Kholood · Saudi Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.381.5
Expected goals
1.751.7
Shots
16.411.6
Possession
56.3%46.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: al-Kholood's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Al-Nassr's recent record differs from the season

weak

Al-Nassr's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match2.38 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Al-Kholood show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Al-Kholood's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Nassr · Al-Kholood11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-NassrAl-KholoodBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against9.25 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

8.5 corners/match ●CornersAl-Nassr · Al-Kholood5.13 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAl-NassrAl-KholoodBaseline
Corners8.5 corners/match5.13 corners/match4.44 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Nassr favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Kholood in 0 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Nassr8 matchesAl-Kholood8 matches
2.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.5 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.88 goals/match
1.75 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.7 xG/match
16.4 shots/match ▲Shots8/811.6 shots/match
6.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/84.25 shots/match
56.3% ●Possession8/846.6%
8.5 corners/match ●Corners8/85.13 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls8/812.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Al-Nassr
1Draws
0Al-Kholood
Al-Kholood — Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League0–3
Al-Nassr — Al-Kholood · Saudi Pro League2–0
Al-Nassr — Al-Kholood · Saudi Pro League3–1
Al-Kholood — Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness20 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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