PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

AZ Alkmaar vs FC Twente · Eredivisie

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.572.14
Expected goals
2.532.19
Shots
19.421.4
Possession
59%58%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. No second reading clears the same sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

8.57 corners/match ●CornersAZ Alkmaar · FC Twente7.43 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAZ AlkmaarFC TwenteBaseline
Corners8.57 corners/match7.43 corners/match4.71 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AZ Alkmaar favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · FC Twente in 3 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AZ Alkmaar7 matchesFC Twente7 matches
2.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/72.14 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71 goal/match
2.53 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/72.19 xG/match
19.4 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 21.4 shots/match
7.57 shots/matchShots on target7/77.57 shots/match
59% ●Possession7/758%
8.57 corners/match ●Corners7/77.43 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls7/710 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3AZ Alkmaar
1Draws
1FC Twente
AZ Alkmaar — FC Twente · Eredivisie2–2
AZ Alkmaar — FC Twente · KNVB Beker2–1
FC Twente — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie1–0
AZ Alkmaar — FC Twente · Eredivisie3–2
FC Twente — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAZ AlkmaarFC Twente
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headAZ Alkmaar — FC Twente
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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