PitchMath
La Liga · 2026

Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga · La Liga

vsPre-match analysis

Málaga

DDLLD

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.50.5
Expected goals
1.30.82
Shots
12.410.6
Possession
42.1%51.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: málaga have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: málaga's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Málaga's recent record differs from the season

weak

Málaga's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.5 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Málaga have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.1%PossessionDeportivo Alavés · Málaga● 51.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo AlavésMálagaBaseline
Possession42.1%51.6%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Alavés favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Málaga in 2

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Alavés8 matchesMálaga8 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.5 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.63 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/80.82 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots7/810.6 shots/match
4.43 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/82.63 shots/match
42.1%Possession7/8● 51.6%
4.29 corners/matchCorners7/8● 5.75 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls7/812.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Deportivo Alavés
0Draws
1Málaga
Deportivo Alavés — Málaga · Segunda División2–1
Málaga — Deportivo Alavés · Segunda División1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo AlavésMálaga
CompetitionLa Liga
Head-to-headDeportivo Alavés — Málaga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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