La Liga · 2026

Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés · La Liga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.51.83
Expected goals
0.741.51
Shots
9.8314.2
Possession
54.3%44%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: celta Vigo have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Celta Vigo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.83 shots/match ▲ShotsCelta Vigo · Deportivo Alavés14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoDeportivo AlavésBaseline
Shots9.83 shots/match14.2 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match10.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.5 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Celta Vigo have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.3% ●PossessionCelta Vigo · Deportivo Alavés44%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoDeportivo AlavésBaseline
Possession54.3%44%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Alavés in 8 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo6 matchesDeportivo Alavés6 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.83 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed6/61 goal/match
0.74 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.51 xG/match
9.83 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 14.2 shots/match
2.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5.17 shots/match
54.3% ●Possession6/644%
3.33 corners/matchCorners6/6● 4.83 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls6/613.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Celta Vigo
1Draws
2Deportivo Alavés
Celta Vigo — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga3–4
Deportivo Alavés — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–1
Deportivo Alavés — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–1
Celta Vigo — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga2–1
Deportivo Alavés — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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