PitchMath
La Liga · 2026

Málaga vs Real Sociedad · La Liga

Málaga

DDLLD
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.51.29
Expected goals
0.821.15
Shots
10.613.4
Possession
51.6%49.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. The next-strongest reading is weaker: real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.75 corners/matchCornersMálaga · Real Sociedad● 7.29 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricMálagaReal SociedadBaseline
Corners5.75 corners/match7.29 corners/match4.57 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Málaga favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 8 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Málaga8 matchesReal Sociedad7 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/7▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/71.86 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals8/7▲ 1.15 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots8/7▲ 13.4 shots/match
2.63 shots/matchShots on target8/7▲ 5.14 shots/match
51.6% ●Possession8/749.1%
5.75 corners/matchCorners8/7● 7.29 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls8/712.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMálagaReal Sociedad
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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