La Liga · 2026

Málaga vs Real Sociedad · La Liga

Málaga

DLDDL
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.51
Expected goals
0.90.91
Shots
9.8312.2
Possession
49.8%49.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: málaga's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Málaga's recent record differs from the season

weak

Málaga's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.5 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Málaga favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 6 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Málaga6 matchesReal Sociedad6 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1 goal/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals6/60.91 xG/match
9.83 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 12.2 shots/match
1.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5 shots/match
49.8% ●Possession6/649.7%
4.83 corners/matchCorners6/6● 7.67 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls6/612.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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