La Liga · 2026

Real Madrid vs Sevilla · La Liga

vsPre-match analysis

Sevilla

WLDWW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.831.5
Expected goals
2.981.03
Shots
20.711.8
Possession
54.8%43.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Sevilla have a visible away split

weak

Sevilla's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match11.8 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.7 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Madrid · Sevilla11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridSevillaBaseline
Shots20.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match9.17 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.8% ●PossessionReal Madrid · Sevilla43.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridSevillaBaseline
Possession54.8%43.8%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Sevilla in 4 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid6 matchesSevilla6 matches
2.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.5 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed6/61 goal/match
2.98 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.03 xG/match
20.7 shots/match ▲Shots6/611.8 shots/match
8.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/64.33 shots/match
54.8% ●Possession6/643.8%
7.83 corners/match ●Corners6/63.67 corners/match
8.83 fouls/matchFouls6/615.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Real Madrid
0Draws
0Sevilla
Sevilla — Real Madrid · La Liga0–1
Real Madrid — Sevilla · La Liga2–0
Sevilla — Real Madrid · La Liga0–2
Real Madrid — Sevilla · La Liga4–2
Real Madrid — Sevilla · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness33 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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