La Liga · 2026

Real Madrid vs Sevilla · La Liga

vsPre-match analysis

Sevilla

LDWWL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.571.43
Expected goals
2.60.95
Shots
18.911.1
Possession
52.6%42%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: sevilla's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.43 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sevilla have a visible away split

weak

Sevilla's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.9 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Madrid · Sevilla11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridSevillaBaseline
Shots18.9 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Sevilla in 5

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid7 matchesSevilla7 matches
2.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.43 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.29 goals/match
2.6 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.95 xG/match
18.9 shots/match ▲Shots7/711.1 shots/match
7.57 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/74.14 shots/match
52.6% ●Possession7/742%
6.86 corners/match ●Corners7/73.29 corners/match
8.43 fouls/matchFouls7/714.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Real Madrid
0Draws
0Sevilla
Sevilla — Real Madrid · La Liga0–1
Real Madrid — Sevilla · La Liga2–0
Sevilla — Real Madrid · La Liga0–2
Real Madrid — Sevilla · La Liga4–2
Real Madrid — Sevilla · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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