PitchMath
La Liga · 2026

Rayo Vallecano vs Elche · La Liga

vsPre-match analysis

Elche

LLDLW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.571.57
Expected goals
1.271.26
Shots
13.411.3
Possession
48.7%49.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: elche's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Elche's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Elche's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsRayo Vallecano · Elche11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoElcheBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against16.4 shots/match15.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rayo Vallecano favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Elche in 4 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano7 matchesElche7 matches
1.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.57 goals/match
2.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72.43 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.26 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots7/711.3 shots/match
4.57 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 5 shots/match
48.7%Possession7/7● 49.9%
5.29 corners/match ●Corners7/74.43 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls7/713.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Rayo Vallecano
0Draws
3Elche
Rayo Vallecano — Elche · La Liga1–0
Elche — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga4–0
Elche — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga4–0
Rayo Vallecano — Elche · La Liga2–1
Elche — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness37 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRayo VallecanoElche
CompetitionLa Liga
Head-to-headRayo Vallecano — Elche
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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