PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.51.67
Expected goals
1.391.19
Shots
1111.7
Possession
43.3%51.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: newcastle United have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

weak

Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Newcastle United have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.3%PossessionCrystal Palace · Newcastle United● 51.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCrystal PalaceNewcastle UnitedBaseline
Possession43.3%51.7%48.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Crystal Palace favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Newcastle United in 4 · 6 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Crystal Palace6 matchesNewcastle United6 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.67 goals/match
2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62.17 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.19 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 11.7 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target6/64 shots/match
43.3%Possession6/6● 51.7%
2.83 corners/matchCorners6/6● 4.67 corners/match
9.67 fouls/matchFouls6/611.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Crystal Palace
1Draws
2Newcastle United
Crystal Palace — Newcastle United · Premier League2–1
Newcastle United — Crystal Palace · Premier League2–0
Newcastle United — Crystal Palace · Premier League5–0
Crystal Palace — Newcastle United · Premier League1–1
Crystal Palace — Newcastle United · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCrystal PalaceNewcastle United
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headCrystal Palace — Newcastle United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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