PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham · Championship

vsPre-match analysis

Wrexham

WDDLW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.51.13
Expected goals
0.871.04
Shots
11.610.9
Possession
51.8%48.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: blackburn Rovers's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Blackburn Rovers have a visible home split

weak

Blackburn Rovers's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Blackburn Rovers favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Wrexham in 6 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Blackburn Rovers8 matchesWrexham8 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.13 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.5 goals/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.04 xG/match
11.6 shots/match ▲Shots8/810.9 shots/match
4.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.5 shots/match
51.8% ●Possession8/848.3%
5.88 corners/match ●Corners8/84.75 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls8/811.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Blackburn Rovers
1Draws
1Wrexham
Blackburn Rovers — Wrexham · Championship0–2
Wrexham — Blackburn Rovers · Championship1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBlackburn RoversWrexham
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headBlackburn Rovers — Wrexham
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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