PitchMath
League One · 2026

Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.41.44
Expected goals
0.910.94
Shots
10.810.3
Possession
45.6%48.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: leyton Orient's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Leyton Orient's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leyton Orient's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Burton Albion favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Leyton Orient in 3 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Burton Albion10 matchesLeyton Orient9 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/91.44 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/9▲ 1.22 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals9/90.94 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots9/910.3 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 3.67 shots/match
45.6%Possession9/9● 48.2%
4.11 corners/match ●Corners9/93.67 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls9/912.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Burton Albion
2Draws
1Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient — Burton Albion · League One2–2
Burton Albion — Leyton Orient · League One0–4
Burton Albion — Leyton Orient · League One2–1
Leyton Orient — Burton Albion · League One0–0
Leyton Orient — Burton Albion · League One1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBurton AlbionLeyton Orient
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headBurton Albion — Leyton Orient
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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