PitchMath
League One · 2026

Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.711.86
Expected goals
0.91.02
Shots
9.5710.4
Possession
44.3%49.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: leyton Orient's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Leyton Orient show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Leyton Orient's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.57 shots/match ▲ShotsBurton Albion · Leyton Orient10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBurton AlbionLeyton OrientBaseline
Shots9.57 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match15.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Burton Albion favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Leyton Orient in 8 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Burton Albion7 matchesLeyton Orient7 matches
1.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.86 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.29 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.02 xG/match
9.57 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 10.4 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4 shots/match
44.3%Possession7/7● 49.6%
3 corners/matchCorners7/7● 3.86 corners/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls7/712.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Burton Albion
2Draws
1Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient — Burton Albion · League One2–2
Burton Albion — Leyton Orient · League One0–4
Burton Albion — Leyton Orient · League One2–1
Leyton Orient — Burton Albion · League One0–0
Leyton Orient — Burton Albion · League One1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBurton AlbionLeyton Orient
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headBurton Albion — Leyton Orient
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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