PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.61.4
Expected goals
1.881.54
Shots
15.816.4
Possession
52%48.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 4 to VfB Stuttgart, 0 drawn, 1 to Borussia M'gladbach. From this fixture's own record: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Borussia M'gladbach have a visible away split

weak

Borussia M'gladbach's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match16.4 shots/match15.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.2 corners/matchCornersVfB Stuttgart · Borussia M'gladbach● 6.6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricVfB StuttgartBorussia M'gladbachBaseline
Corners6.2 corners/match6.6 corners/match5.03 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfB Stuttgart favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Borussia M'gladbach in 1 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfB Stuttgart5 matchesBorussia M'gladbach5 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/53.6 goals/match
1.88 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.54 xG/match
15.8 shots/matchShots5/516.4 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/54.8 shots/match
52% ●Possession5/548.4%
6.2 corners/matchCorners5/5● 6.6 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4VfB Stuttgart
0Draws
1Borussia M'gladbach
Borussia M'gladbach — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga0–3
VfB Stuttgart — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga1–0
VfB Stuttgart — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga1–2
Borussia M'gladbach — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1–3
VfB Stuttgart — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness13 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfB StuttgartBorussia M'gladbach
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-headVfB Stuttgart — Borussia M'gladbach
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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