Bundesliga · 2026

Borussia M'gladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.51.75
Expected goals
1.641.74
Shots
16.519
Possession
47.5%57%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.75 corners/matchCornersBorussia M'gladbach · TSG Hoffenheim6.75 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBorussia M'gladbachTSG HoffenheimBaseline
Corners6.75 corners/match6.75 corners/match5.03 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

TSG Hoffenheim show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

TSG Hoffenheim's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia M'gladbach · TSG Hoffenheim19 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia M'gladbachTSG HoffenheimBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match19 shots/match15.5 shots/match
Shots against18.5 shots/match14.5 shots/match16.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

TSG Hoffenheim have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.5%PossessionBorussia M'gladbach · TSG Hoffenheim● 57%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBorussia M'gladbachTSG HoffenheimBaseline
Possession47.5%57%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia M'gladbach favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · TSG Hoffenheim in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia M'gladbach4 matchesTSG Hoffenheim4 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 1.75 goals/match
4 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 2.5 goals/match
1.64 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.74 xG/match
16.5 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 19 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 5 shots/match
47.5%Possession4/4● 57%
6.75 corners/matchCorners4/46.75 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls4/414 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Borussia M'gladbach
1Draws
2TSG Hoffenheim
Borussia M'gladbach — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga4–0
TSG Hoffenheim — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga5–1
Borussia M'gladbach — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga4–4
TSG Hoffenheim — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga1–2
TSG Hoffenheim — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga4–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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