PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

Borussia M'gladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
12
Expected goals
1.071.84
Shots
1517.7
Possession
47.7%54%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15.7 fouls/matchFoulsBorussia M'gladbach · TSG Hoffenheim14 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBorussia M'gladbachTSG HoffenheimBaseline
Fouls15.7 fouls/match14 fouls/match10.6 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia M'gladbach favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · TSG Hoffenheim in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia M'gladbach3 matchesTSG Hoffenheim3 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2 goals/match
4 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 2.33 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.84 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 17.7 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 6 shots/match
47.7%Possession3/3● 54%
7 corners/matchCorners3/3● 7.33 corners/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls3/314 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Borussia M'gladbach
1Draws
2TSG Hoffenheim
Borussia M'gladbach — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga4–0
TSG Hoffenheim — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga5–1
Borussia M'gladbach — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga4–4
TSG Hoffenheim — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga1–2
TSG Hoffenheim — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga4–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia M'gladbachTSG Hoffenheim
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-headBorussia M'gladbach — TSG Hoffenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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