PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.673.33
Expected goals
2.441.86
Shots
2418
Possession
64.7%51.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: SC Freiburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

SC Freiburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

SC Freiburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

24 shots/match ▲ShotsBayer 04 Leverkusen · SC Freiburg18 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenSC FreiburgBaseline
Shots24 shots/match18 shots/match15.7 shots/match
Shots against8 shots/match9.33 shots/match17.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

64.7% ●PossessionBayer 04 Leverkusen · SC Freiburg51.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenSC FreiburgBaseline
Possession64.7%51.7%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · SC Freiburg in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen3 matchesSC Freiburg3 matches
2.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 3.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 0.33 goals/match
2.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.86 xG/match
24 shots/match ▲Shots3/318 shots/match
6.33 shots/matchShots on target3/36.33 shots/match
64.7% ●Possession3/351.7%
9.33 corners/match ●Corners3/35.33 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls3/310 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2Draws
0SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga3–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga2–0
SC Freiburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga5–1
SC Freiburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBayer 04 LeverkusenSC Freiburg
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-headBayer 04 Leverkusen — SC Freiburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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