PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar FC · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.230.76
Expected goals
1.050.92
Shots
1211.1
Possession
52.3%44.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: alianza Valledupar FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Alianza Valledupar FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alianza Valledupar FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.76 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Pasto favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Alianza Valledupar FC in 0 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Pasto31 matchesAlianza Valledupar FC29 matches
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/290.76 goals/match
1.39 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/291.62 goals/match
1.05 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/250.92 xG/match
12 shots/match ▲Shots31/2911.1 shots/match
3.68 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/292.83 shots/match
52.3% ●Possession31/2944.6%
4.16 corners/match ●Corners31/294.14 corners/match
4.83 cards/matchCards12/64.67 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls31/2912 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Deportivo Pasto
1Draws
0Alianza Valledupar FC
Alianza Valledupar FC — Deportivo Pasto · Primera A0–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness30 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 20 Oct 2026, 01:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo PastoAlianza Valledupar FC
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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