PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.63
Expected goals
21.71
Shots
18.218
Possession
50.2%55%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: 1. FC Nürnberg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second reading clears the same sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

1. FC Nürnberg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

1. FC Nürnberg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.2 shots/match ▲ShotsEnergie Cottbus · 1. FC Nürnberg18 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEnergie Cottbus1. FC NürnbergBaseline
Shots18.2 shots/match18 shots/match15.5 shots/match
Shots against19.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match15.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Energie Cottbus favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · 1. FC Nürnberg in 8 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Energie Cottbus5 matches1. FC Nürnberg5 matches
2.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 3 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.2 goals/match
2 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.71 xG/match
18.2 shots/matchShots5/518 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 7.4 shots/match
50.2%Possession5/5● 55%
7.6 corners/match ●Corners5/55.2 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 16 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEnergie Cottbus1. FC Nürnberg
Competition2. Bundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required