Holstein Kiel
2. Bundesliga · 2026Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC · 2. Bundesliga
Season
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
- Goals scored
- 1.2–3
- Expected goals
- 1.42–1.92
- Shots
- 14.2–17.2
- Possession
- 54.2%–48%
30-second read
What the record shows
One pattern stands out in the record: each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. No second reading clears the same sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
Both teams have elevated fouls records
moderateEach team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Hertha BSC | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 15.2 fouls/match | 13.8 fouls/match | 11.7 fouls/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Holstein Kiel favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Hertha BSC in 10 · 1 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Rest before fixture · Both teams: 33.2 days
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches
Holstein Kiel / Hertha BSC
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
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