Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC — Stats & Match Analysis

2. Bundesliga · 2026Fri, 16 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC

Holstein Kiel

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vsPre-match analysis

Hertha BSC

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Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 1.172.83
Expected goals: 1.532.01
Shots: 14.818.5
Possession: 54.8%48.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.5 fouls/matchFoulsHolstein Kiel · Hertha BSC13 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Holstein Kiel	Hertha BSC	Baseline
Fouls	14.5 fouls/match	13 fouls/match	11.5 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Holstein Kiel favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Hertha BSC in 10 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Holstein Kiel6 matchesHertha BSC6 matches

1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 2.83 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.17 goals/match

1.53 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 2.01 xG/match

14.8 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 18.5 shots/match

3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 6.17 shots/match

54.8% ●Possession6/648.5%

6.67 corners/match ●Corners6/65.67 corners/match

14.5 fouls/matchFouls6/613 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Holstein Kiel

1Draws

2Hertha BSC

25 Apr 2026Hertha BSC — Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga0–1

29 Nov 2025Holstein Kiel — Hertha BSC · 2. Bundesliga0–1

1 Mar 2024Hertha BSC — Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga2–2

24 Sept 2023Holstein Kiel — Hertha BSC · 2. Bundesliga2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness27 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 16 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season