PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
21.17
Expected goals
1.971.53
Shots
17.514.8
Possession
48.3%54.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: eintracht Braunschweig's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Eintracht Braunschweig's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Eintracht Braunschweig's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match2 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Eintracht Braunschweig favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Holstein Kiel in 5 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Eintracht Braunschweig6 matchesHolstein Kiel6 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.97 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.53 xG/match
17.5 shots/match ▲Shots6/614.8 shots/match
7.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/63.83 shots/match
48.3%Possession6/6● 54.8%
4.5 corners/matchCorners6/6● 6.67 corners/match
9.33 fouls/matchFouls6/614.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Eintracht Braunschweig
1Draws
3Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel — Eintracht Braunschweig · 2. Bundesliga2–0
Eintracht Braunschweig — Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga1–1
Holstein Kiel — Eintracht Braunschweig · 2. Bundesliga1–2
Eintracht Braunschweig — Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga0–1
Eintracht Braunschweig — Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness20 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEintracht BraunschweigHolstein Kiel
Competition2. Bundesliga
Head-to-headEintracht Braunschweig — Holstein Kiel
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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