PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.41
Expected goals
1.91.37
Shots
1614.5
Possession
44.4%48%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: 1. FC Heidenheim's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

1. FC Heidenheim have a visible home split

weak

1. FC Heidenheim's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

21 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots21 shots/match16 shots/match15.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

1. FC Kaiserslautern's recent record differs from the season

weak

1. FC Kaiserslautern's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Heidenheim favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · 1. FC Kaiserslautern in 5 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Heidenheim5 matches1. FC Kaiserslautern6 matches
2.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/61 goal/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/6▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.9 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/61.37 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots5/614.5 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/65.5 shots/match
44.4%Possession5/6● 48%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/6● 5 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/611.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

01. FC Heidenheim
2Draws
01. FC Kaiserslautern
1. FC Kaiserslautern — 1. FC Heidenheim · 2. Bundesliga2–2
1. FC Heidenheim — 1. FC Kaiserslautern · 2. Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness26 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Kaiserslautern
Competition2. Bundesliga
Head-to-head1. FC Heidenheim — 1. FC Kaiserslautern
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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