PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

VfL Osnabrück vs SG Dynamo Dresden · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.51.33
Expected goals
1.551.21
Shots
14.312.7
Possession
41.8%55%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: SG Dynamo Dresden have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: SG Dynamo Dresden's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

SG Dynamo Dresden's recent record differs from the season

weak

SG Dynamo Dresden's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

SG Dynamo Dresden have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.8%PossessionVfL Osnabrück · SG Dynamo Dresden● 55%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVfL OsnabrückSG Dynamo DresdenBaseline
Possession41.8%55%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Osnabrück favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · SG Dynamo Dresden in 4 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Osnabrück6 matchesSG Dynamo Dresden6 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.33 goals/match
2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62.33 goals/match
1.55 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.21 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots6/612.7 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/64.33 shots/match
41.8%Possession6/6● 55%
3.33 corners/matchCorners6/6● 6.67 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls6/610.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness21 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL OsnabrückSG Dynamo Dresden
Competition2. Bundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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