2. Bundesliga · 2026

Darmstadt 98 vs Energie Cottbus · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.832.6
Expected goals
1.032
Shots
11.318.2
Possession
40.3%50.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: darmstadt 98's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: energie Cottbus have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Darmstadt 98's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Darmstadt 98's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Energie Cottbus show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Energie Cottbus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsDarmstadt 98 · Energie Cottbus18.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDarmstadt 98Energie CottbusBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match18.2 shots/match15.5 shots/match
Shots against17.5 shots/match19.4 shots/match15.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Energie Cottbus have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.3%PossessionDarmstadt 98 · Energie Cottbus● 50.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDarmstadt 98Energie CottbusBaseline
Possession40.3%50.2%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Darmstadt 98 favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Energie Cottbus in 8 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Darmstadt 986 matchesEnergie Cottbus5 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/5▲ 2.6 goals/match
2.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/52.4 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals6/5▲ 2 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots6/5▲ 18.2 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target6/5▲ 5.8 shots/match
40.3%Possession6/5● 50.2%
4.5 corners/matchCorners6/5● 7.6 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls6/513.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness27 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

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