PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

Darmstadt 98 3–1 Energie Cottbus · 2. Bundesliga

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Darmstadt 98 won 3–1.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
1.381.48
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Darmstadt 98 beat Energie Cottbus 3–1. Recorded in this match (Darmstadt 98 – Energie Cottbus): shots 16–10, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 1.38–1.48, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Energie Cottbus have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.7%PossessionDarmstadt 98 · Energie Cottbus● 53.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDarmstadt 98Energie CottbusBaseline
Possession40.7%53.9%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsDarmstadt 98 16 shots, Energie Cottbus 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsDarmstadt 98 7 shots, Energie Cottbus 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.38 xG1.48 xGDarmstadt 98 1.38 xG, Energie Cottbus 1.48 xG
  • Possession43%57%Darmstadt 98 43%, Energie Cottbus 57%
  • Corners7 corners8 cornersDarmstadt 98 7 corners, Energie Cottbus 8 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsDarmstadt 98 12 fouls, Energie Cottbus 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsDarmstadt 98 3 cards, Energie Cottbus 3 cards
  • Passes343 passes468 passesDarmstadt 98 343 passes, Energie Cottbus 468 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.6%83.3%Darmstadt 98 79.6%, Energie Cottbus 83.3%
  • Shots inside box13 shots5 shotsDarmstadt 98 13 shots, Energie Cottbus 5 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks1 blockDarmstadt 98 4 blocks, Energie Cottbus 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves4 savesDarmstadt 98 5 saves, Energie Cottbus 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesDarmstadt 98 1 offside, Energie Cottbus 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 4′Justin ButlerGoal · Energie Cottbus
  2. 36′Noah WeißhauptGoal · Darmstadt 98
  3. 45′Christian KinsombiYellow card · Energie Cottbus
  4. Half-time
  5. 62′Milan SmitYellow card · Darmstadt 98
  6. 63′Justin ButlerYellow card · Energie Cottbus
  7. 77′Aleksandar VukotićGoal · Darmstadt 98
  8. 80′Noah WeißhauptYellow card · Darmstadt 98
  9. 80′Tolcay CiğerciYellow card · Energie Cottbus
  10. 85′Lance DuijvestijnYellow card · Darmstadt 98
  11. 88′Yannik LührsGoal · Darmstadt 98
  12. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Energie Cottbus · 1 player changeLucas Copado
  • 55′Energie Cottbus · 1 player changeFousseny Doumbia
  • 64′Darmstadt 98 · 1 player changeHiroki Akiyama
  • 65′Darmstadt 98 · 1 player changeLance Duijvestijn
  • 69′Energie Cottbus · 2 player changesDmytro Bogdanov · Dominik Pelivan
  • 74′Darmstadt 98 · 2 player changesFynn Lakenmacher · Yannik Lührs
  • 81′Energie Cottbus · 1 player changeJannis Boziaris
  • 90′Darmstadt 98 · 1 player changeYosuke Furukawa

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Darmstadt 98
  1. Marcel SchuhenG
  2. Patric PfeifferD
  3. Raoul PetrettaD
  4. Aleksandar VukotićD
  5. William MikelbrencisD
  6. Marco RichterM
  7. Noah WeißhauptM
  8. Nicolas VerkooijenM
  9. Kai KlefischM
  10. Lee Ho-jaeF
  11. Milan SmitF
Energie Cottbus
  1. Marcel LotkaG
  2. King ManuD
  3. Henry RorigD
  4. Axel BorgmannD
  5. Luca ErleinD
  6. Lukas MichelbrinkM
  7. Moritz HannemannM
  8. Leonardo BittencourtM
  9. Christian KinsombiF
  10. Tolcay CiğerciF
  11. Justin ButlerF

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Darmstadt 98 favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Energie Cottbus in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Darmstadt 987 matchesEnergie Cottbus7 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2.14 goals/match
2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72.29 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.8 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 16.4 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 5.71 shots/match
40.7%Possession7/7● 53.9%
4.86 corners/matchCorners7/7● 7.86 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls7/713 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDarmstadt 98Energie Cottbus
Competition2. Bundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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