PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.831.5
Expected goals
2.011.54
Shots
18.513.8
Possession
48.5%49.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: spVgg Greuther Fürth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

SpVgg Greuther Fürth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

18.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHertha BSC · SpVgg Greuther Fürth13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHertha BSCSpVgg Greuther FürthBaseline
Shots18.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match15.5 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match15.3 shots/match15.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hertha BSC favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 0 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hertha BSC6 matchesSpVgg Greuther Fürth6 matches
2.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.5 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
2.01 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.54 xG/match
18.5 shots/match ▲Shots6/613.8 shots/match
6.17 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/65.83 shots/match
48.5%Possession6/6● 49.2%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners6/65 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls6/68.83 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Hertha BSC
1Draws
1SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hertha BSC — SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga2–1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Hertha BSC · 2. Bundesliga3–3
Hertha BSC — SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga1–0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Hertha BSC · 2. Bundesliga2–1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Hertha BSC · 2. Bundesliga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness23 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHertha BSCSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Competition2. Bundesliga
Head-to-headHertha BSC — SpVgg Greuther Fürth
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required