PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Hertha BSC won 2–1.

Shots
1917
Shots on target
105
Expected goals
1.791.06
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hertha BSC beat SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–1. Recorded in this match (Hertha BSC – SpVgg Greuther Fürth): shots 19–17, shots on target 10–5, expected goals 1.79–1.06, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots17 shotsHertha BSC 19 shots, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots5 shotsHertha BSC 10 shots, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.79 xG1.06 xGHertha BSC 1.79 xG, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.06 xG
  • Possession42%58%Hertha BSC 42%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 58%
  • Corners5 corners12 cornersHertha BSC 5 corners, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 12 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsHertha BSC 10 fouls, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsHertha BSC 2 cards, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0 cards
  • Passes339 passes450 passesHertha BSC 339 passes, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 450 passes
  • Pass accuracy77%82.2%Hertha BSC 77%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 82.2%
  • Shots inside box12 shots10 shotsHertha BSC 12 shots, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 10 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocksHertha BSC 2 blocks, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves8 savesHertha BSC 4 saves, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 8 saves
  • Offsides1 offside4 offsidesHertha BSC 1 offside, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. Half-time
  2. 60′Linus GechterYellow card · Hertha BSC
  3. 65′Mads PedersenGoal · Hertha BSC
  4. 72′Julian EitschbergerYellow card · Hertha BSC
  5. 80′Paul SeguinGoal · Hertha BSC
  6. 90′Jannis HeuerGoal · SpVgg Greuther Fürth
  7. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 64′Hertha BSC · 2 player changesFarid Alfa-Ruprecht · Gustaf Nilsson
  • 66′SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 1 player changeFaton Ademi
  • 75′SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 1 player changeJordan Siebatcheu
  • 76′Hertha BSC · 1 player changeDeyovaisio Zeefuik
  • 81′SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 3 player changesAaron Keller · Olgherto Balliu · Dennis Srbeny
  • 87′Hertha BSC · 2 player changesSoufian Gouram · Pascal Klemens

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Hertha BSC
  1. Marius GersbeckG
  2. Julian EitschbergerD
  3. Mads PedersenD
  4. Niklas KolbeD
  5. Linus GechterD
  6. Kevin SessaM
  7. Jón Dagur ÞórsteinssonM
  8. Paul SeguinM
  9. Josip BrekaloF
  10. Jan Luca SchulerF
  11. Oluwaseun AdewumiF
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
  1. Florian HellsternG
  2. Lukas ReichD
  3. Jannis HeuerD
  4. Jannik DehmD
  5. Hendry BlankD
  6. Sacha BanseM
  7. Shinta AppelkampM
  8. Ole PohlmannM
  9. Paul WillM
  10. Felix KlausF
  11. Omar SillahF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Hertha BSC
1Draws
1SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hertha BSC — SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga2–1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Hertha BSC · 2. Bundesliga3–3
Hertha BSC — SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga1–0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Hertha BSC · 2. Bundesliga2–1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Hertha BSC · 2. Bundesliga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hertha BSC favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hertha BSC7 matchesSpVgg Greuther Fürth7 matches
2.71 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.43 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.86 goals/match
1.98 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.47 xG/match
18.6 shots/match ▲Shots7/714.3 shots/match
6.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/75.71 shots/match
47.6%Possession7/7● 50.4%
5.57 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls7/78.71 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHertha BSCSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Competition2. Bundesliga
Head-to-headHertha BSC — SpVgg Greuther Fürth
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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