PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

VfL Bochum 1848 vs Arminia Bielefeld · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.81.6
Expected goals
1.371.65
Shots
15.414.8
Possession
53.4%46.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.6 fouls/matchFoulsVfL Bochum 1848 · Arminia Bielefeld12.8 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricVfL Bochum 1848Arminia BielefeldBaseline
Fouls13.6 fouls/match12.8 fouls/match11.6 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Bochum 1848 favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Arminia Bielefeld in 3 · 6 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Bochum 18485 matchesArminia Bielefeld5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.6 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.65 xG/match
15.4 shots/matchShots5/514.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match
53.4% ●Possession5/546.8%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/5● 6.4 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2VfL Bochum 1848
1Draws
1Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld — VfL Bochum 1848 · 2. Bundesliga1–1
VfL Bochum 1848 — Arminia Bielefeld · 2. Bundesliga1–0
VfL Bochum 1848 — Arminia Bielefeld · Bundesliga2–1
Arminia Bielefeld — VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness30 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL Bochum 1848Arminia Bielefeld
Competition2. Bundesliga
Head-to-headVfL Bochum 1848 — Arminia Bielefeld
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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